Wednesday, March 10, 2004

The economic October surprise.

Interesting speculation on a possible October surprise of an economic nature. The theory propounded is that the biggest issue in the presidential campaign will be the economy and the lack of job creation. So, in September and October, big national employers (e.g., Wal-Mart, Sears) go on a tear, hiring hundreds of thousands of employees, causing the job-creation totals to soar and make it appear that the economy really is improving. Bush gets the credit, gets reelected, and then all those new jobs are eliminated.

Interesting theory. Probably harder to pull off than is described here, but also not beyond the realm of the Committee to Re-Elect the President to consider. Personally, the October surprise I'm expecting to see is the "capture" of Osama bin Laden around October 15 to 20, picked up from where we've known all along he is.

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